No Kentucky
W-L: (15-17) PR = 93.6883Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 1106 H Marshall SB (24- 9, 95.1) 53-68 1109 H Louisville ACC (29- 8, 97.5) 61-89 1112 H Ball St MA (26- 7, 95.1) 64-95 1116 H Butler BE (13-19, 94.2) 56-73 1119 A Toledo MA (17-15, 93.9) 70-61 1122 H Chattanooga SO (18-11, 93.6) 62-64 1125 H Stetson AS (18-12, 93.9) 63-89 1126 A Drake MV (12-20, 93.3) 90-69 1204 H Green Bay HL (25- 9, 95.1) 60-70 1207 H Robert Morris HL (15-12, 93.6) 58-60 1211 H Ohio St B10 (27- 9, 97.9) 62-94 1216 H Cleveland St HL (25- 9, 94.3) 56-74 1221 H Bradley MV (19-13, 94.2) 61-62 1229 A PFW HL (21-15, 94.1) 88-85 102 A IUI HL (12-17, 93.4) 63-44 104 A Detroit HL ( 7-24, 92.3) 75-57 108 A Youngstown St HL (23-10, 94.4) 61-49 110 A Robert Morris HL (15-12, 93.6) 81-76 114 A WI-Milw HL ( 7-25, 92.3) 63-55 114 A WI-Milw HL ( 7-25, 92.3) 63-55 117 A Wright St HL ( 9-23, 92.5) 82-56 121 H IUI HL (12-17, 93.4) 70-75 124 H PFW HL (21-15, 94.1) 91-97 131 H Cleveland St HL (25- 9, 94.3) 61-69 203 A Oakland HL (10-21, 93.2) 77-76 212 A WI-Milw HL ( 7-25, 92.3) 59-56 214 A Green Bay HL (25- 9, 95.1) 77-59 219 H Youngstown St HL (23-10, 94.4) 55-75 221 A Wright St HL ( 9-23, 92.5) 68-62 225 A Oakland HL (10-21, 93.2) 84-59 228 H Detroit HL ( 7-24, 92.3) 69-70 304 H IUI HL (12-17, 93.4) 72-74
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
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Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
1106 H Marshall 53-68 -15 -1 -0.60
1109 H Louisville 61-89 -28 -4 0.00
1112 H Ball St 64-95 -31 -1 -0.56
1116 H Butler 56-73 -17 -1 -1.46
1119 A Toledo 70-61 9 0 + 2.27
1122 H Chattanooga 62-64 -2 0 - -2.07
1125 H Stetson 63-89 -26 0 -1.77
1126 A Drake 90-69 21 0 1.67
1204 H Green Bay 60-70 -10 -1 -0.56
1207 H Robert Morris 58-60 -2 0 - -2.07
1211 H Ohio St 62-94 -32 -4 0.00
1216 H Cleveland St 56-74 -18 -1 -1.42
1221 H Bradley 61-62 -1 -1 -0.49
1229 A PFW 88-85 3 0 + 2.40
102 A IUI 63-44 19 0 1.73
104 A Detroit 75-57 18 1 0.63
108 A Youngstown St 61-49 12 -1 + 2.72
110 A Robert Morris 81-76 5 0 1.95
114 A WI-Milw 63-55 8 1 0.59
114 A WI-Milw 63-55 8 1 0.59
117 A Wright St 82-56 26 1 0.84
121 H IUI 70-75 -5 0 - -2.29
124 H PFW 91-97 -6 0 -1.62
131 H Cleveland St 61-69 -8 -1 -1.42
203 A Oakland 77-76 1 0 0.52
212 A WI-Milw 59-56 3 1 0.59
214 A Green Bay 77-59 18 -1 + 3.46
219 H Youngstown St 55-75 -20 -1 -1.30
221 A Wright St 68-62 6 1 0.84
225 A Oakland 84-59 25 0 1.52
228 H Detroit 69-70 -1 1 - -2.39
304 H IUI 72-74 -2 0 - -2.29
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 1122 H Chattanooga 62-64 -2 0 - -2.07 1207 H Robert Morris 58-60 -2 0 - -2.07 121 H IUI 70-75 -5 0 - -2.29 228 H Detroit 69-70 -1 1 - -2.39 304 H IUI 72-74 -2 0 - -2.29 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 1119 A Toledo 70-61 9 0 + 2.27 1229 A PFW 88-85 3 0 + 2.40 108 A Youngstown St 61-49 12 -1 + 2.72 214 A Green Bay 77-59 18 -1 + 3.46 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 30.35
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 H Marshall (24- 9, 95.1) 53-68 -4.80 6.16 -0.01 0.95 -2.28
3 H Louisville (29- 8, 97.5) 61-89 -2.37 8.59 -0.01 0.95 -1.13
3 H Ball St (26- 7, 95.1) 64-95 -4.76 6.20 -0.01 0.95 -2.26
3 H Butler (13-19, 94.2) 56-73 -5.66 5.30 -0.01 0.95 -2.69
3 A Toledo (17-15, 93.9) 70-61 -5.95 5.01 0.01 0.95 9.52
3 H Chattanooga (18-11, 93.6) 62-64 -6.27 4.69 -0.01 0.95 -2.98
3 H Stetson (18-12, 93.9) 63-89 -5.97 4.99 -0.01 0.95 -2.83
3 A Drake (12-20, 93.3) 90-69 -6.55 4.41 0.01 0.95 8.37
3 H Green Bay (25- 9, 95.1) 60-70 -4.76 6.20 -0.01 0.95 -2.26
3 H Robert Morris (15-12, 93.6) 58-60 -6.27 4.69 -0.01 0.95 -2.98
3 H Ohio St (27- 9, 97.9) 62-94 -1.98 8.98 -0.01 0.95 -0.94
3 H Cleveland St (25- 9, 94.3) 56-74 -5.62 5.34 -0.01 0.95 -2.67
3 H Bradley (19-13, 94.2) 61-62 -5.70 5.27 -0.01 0.95 -2.71
3 A PFW (21-15, 94.1) 88-85 -5.82 5.14 0.01 0.95 9.76
3 A IUI (12-17, 93.4) 63-44 -6.49 4.47 0.01 0.95 8.49
3 A Detroit ( 7-24, 92.3) 75-57 -7.59 3.37 0.01 0.95 6.41
3 A Youngstown St (23-10, 94.4) 61-49 -5.50 5.46 0.01 0.95 10.38
3 A Robert Morris (15-12, 93.6) 81-76 -6.27 4.69 0.01 0.95 8.91
3 A WI-Milw ( 7-25, 92.3) 63-55 -7.63 3.33 0.01 0.95 6.33
3 A WI-Milw ( 7-25, 92.3) 63-55 -7.63 3.33 0.01 0.95 6.33
3 A Wright St ( 9-23, 92.5) 82-56 -7.38 3.58 0.01 0.95 6.81
3 H IUI (12-17, 93.4) 70-75 -6.49 4.47 -0.01 0.95 -3.08
3 H PFW (21-15, 94.1) 91-97 -5.82 5.14 -0.01 0.95 -2.77
3 H Cleveland St (25- 9, 94.3) 61-69 -5.62 5.34 -0.01 0.95 -2.67
3 A Oakland (10-21, 93.2) 77-76 -6.70 4.26 0.01 0.95 8.09
3 A WI-Milw ( 7-25, 92.3) 59-56 -7.63 3.33 0.01 0.95 6.33
3 A Green Bay (25- 9, 95.1) 77-59 -4.76 6.20 0.01 0.95 11.77
3 H Youngstown St (23-10, 94.4) 55-75 -5.50 5.46 -0.01 0.95 -2.61
3 A Wright St ( 9-23, 92.5) 68-62 -7.38 3.58 0.01 0.95 6.81
3 A Oakland (10-21, 93.2) 84-59 -6.70 4.26 0.01 0.95 8.09
3 H Detroit ( 7-24, 92.3) 69-70 -7.59 3.37 -0.01 0.95 -3.60
3 H IUI (12-17, 93.4) 72-74 -6.49 4.47 -0.01 0.95 -3.08
------
78.85
|
winning pts = 122.4065 losing points = -43.5565
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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